Wednesday/ inflation: still going up

June’s inflation came in at 9.1%.
It seems that the Fed will definitely raise the Federal Reserve rate another 75 basis points at the end of July, and it could very well be 100 basis points (1.0%).

The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) number for the second quarter will come out just the day after the interest rate hike.
GDP growth in Q1 was -1.6%.
Goldman Sachs now says the GDP growth number for Q2 will come in at 0.7%.
The Atlanta Fed is way more pessimistic: its latest forecast for Q2 GDP growth is -1.2%.
A negative Q2 number would mean we are in a recession: two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth.
It seems we need to have our recession sooner rather than later, so that inflation can be tamed.

So far in 2022 we have had Jan 7.5% | Feb 7.9% | Mar 8.5% | Apr 8.3% | May 8.6% | Jun 9.1%.
[Graph from Wall Street Journal]

Tuesday/ images, not as nebulous

neb·u·lous
/ˈnebyələs/

adjective
in the form of a cloud or haze; hazy.
“a giant nebulous glow”
(of a concept or idea) unclear, vague, or ill-defined.
“nebulous concepts like quality of life”

Similar— indistinct, indefinite, unclear, vague, hazy, cloudy, fuzzy, misty, lacking definition, blurred, blurry, out of focus, foggy, faint, shadowy, dim, obscure, shapeless, formless, unformed, amorphous, nebulose
Opposite— clear
[Definition from Oxford Languages]


One can see why astronomers are excited about the pictures from the James Webb telescope, when you put them next to pictures of Hubble (launched 30 years ago in 1990).

The Webb telescope works with infrared light and can peer through cosmic dust to provide pictures with more detail and depth.

Below are pictures of the Carina Nebula (a nebula is a gigantic could of gas and dust), located in the Carina–Sagittarius Arm of the Milky Way galaxy.
The nebula is some 8,500 light-years from Earth with a radius of 230 light years.

Top: Image taken with Hubble telescope.
Bottom: Image taken with James Webb telescope.
The Cosmic Cliffs in the Carina Nebula in an area with New General Catalogue (NGC) number 3324. The brown stuff is the edge of the giant, gaseous cavity above it, from where massive, hot, young stars emit intense ultraviolet radiation and stellar winds.
[Description and images from NASA website]

Monday/ butter cookies, in 6 languages

I love packaging that has multiple languages on.
The fine print makes for free little language lessons that come with the product.

Little Butter Biscuits, Organic. My friends bought these cookies for me in Brittany, France, where they were actually made as well (‘Produit en Bretagne’). The packaging comes with a nice cartoon (are the lady & pooch just content, or are they a little haughty?) .. and there are descriptions of the cookies in French, English, German, Spanish and Dutch .. and Arabic! Whoah.  Nicely done.

Sunday/ clear skies

It was a lovely day here in the Pacific Northwest, and not too warm: 77 °F (25°C).
The 6 o’clock Nightmare Show (NBC’s Nightly News) reported that the Yosemite wildfire threatens a grove of giant sequoias.
We have been blessed with clear skies here so far.

The sun is setting as I stroll by Jamjuree’s, the Thai restaurant on 15th Avenue. Four young people had just crowded into Liberty Bar behind me, and Hopvine Pub ahead is hopping as well. The street block up ahead is still in rough shape with Coastal Kitchen still closed. The empty building in the distance on the left (old QFC store) is clean again after the latest round of graffiti had been scrubbed from it.
That little white blob in the sky is the moon, on its way to becoming 2022’s largest supermoon, this Wednesday July 13th (it will be at its closest point to Earth for the year).

Saturday

These beautiful daisies are from Thomas Street Gardens here on Capitol Hill.

Friday/ the last days of Wimbledon 2022

Wimbledon 2022 is about to wrap up with the Ladies’ Singles Final and the Gentlemen’s Singles Final on Sunday. (That’s right. Ladies and gentlemen only. No hoi polloi, plebeians, women on the loose, or scoundrels are allowed.)

As for the gentlemen— Carlos Alcaraz (19, 🇪🇸 Spain) had lost against Jannik Sinner (20, 🇮🇹 Italy) in the round of 16, then Sinner lost against Djokovic (35, 🇷🇸 Serbia) in the quarterfinal, after being two sets up to none.

At the bottom of the draw, Nadal (36, 🇪🇸 Spain) took out Taylor Fritz (24, 🇺🇸 USA) in five grueling sets, but injured an abdominal muscle in the process.
So Nadal had to forfeit his semi-final match against Nick Kyrgios (27, 🇦🇺 Australia).

So now we have a Djokovic-Kyrgios showdown for Sunday, which will be very interesting. Kyrgios is very talented but very volatile. He has beaten Djokovic both times in their two previous meetings, which should boost his confidence.

English singer Sir Cliff Richard (81) is a regular attendee at Wimbledon. This was his getup today—looking dapper in a tailored Union Jack blazer lined with strings of different buttons, completed with a little buttonhole red rose. The blazer was ostensibly to show support for British No 1 Cameron Norrie, who was taking on Djokovic in the semi-final. Norrie won the first set, but then Djokovic took control of the match and won the next three sets).
[Getty Images]

Thursday/ moving out

Whoah, said my brain as I spotted the bright red moving truck on the street while I came down the stairs. Someone must be moving out.

Yes, confirmed my neighbor next door: it’s the pink house further down.
They have lived there for 30 years. The time has come to leave the big old house for something smaller, and with support at hand.

Wednesday/ a rose🌹

My little rosebush has produced its first bloom for the summer.
Is there any flower more famous than a rose?

Roses were probably cultivated in Asia first, some 5,000 years ago.
The Chinese philosopher Confucius wrote of growing roses in the Imperial Gardens about 500 BCE and mentioned that the emperor’s library contained hundreds of books on the subject of roses.

Tuesday/ blue is a hard color

Seattle photographer Tim Durkan took these spectacular photos of last night’s fireworks⁠— the first Seafair fireworks show on Lake Union in 3 years.
He uses slightly longer exposures that make the fiery blooms look even better than in real life, I suspect.

Facebook: Tim Durkan Photography
Instagram: @TimDurkan
Twitter: @TimDurkan

 

The colors in fireworks come from the salt compounds of barium, copper and strontium.
Blue is hard to create:  the copper compounds for the blues do not hold up well in high heat. The search is still on for other compounds after all this time!

CompoundFormulaFunctionColors
Barium ChlorideBaCl₂Color AgentGreens
Barium NitrateBa(NO₃)₂OxidizerGreens
Copper Carbonate CH₂Cu₂O₅Color AgentBlues
Copper Chloride CuCl₂Color AgentBlues
MagnaliumMg-Al alloyHeat & lightNeutral
Potassium Perchlorate KClO₄OxidizerStars & flashes
Sodium OxalateC₂Na₂O₄Color AgentYellows, Gold
Strontium CarbonateSrCO₃Color AgentReds
Strontium Chloride SrCl₂Color AgentReds
Strontium NitrateSr(NO₃)₂OxidizerReds

Sunday/ look, a Polestar

It rained a little bit today, enough to make the streets and sidewalks wet, but not much more.
I found this Polestar (plug-in electric car) here on 15th Avenue.

Polestar 2 is made by Volvo, and it competes with the Tesla Model 3. They are still a very rare sight on the streets here in Seattle, though. The styling is somewhat plain/ conventional, maybe, but hey: the car does not look like an angry lizard.
This is the Long Range Dual Motor AWD model with a range of 260 miles and 300 kW of power. Pricing starts at $48,000, one would probably end up at $53,000 or so. The white color is called Snow and the 19″ alloy wheels are standard.

Saturday/ at the Park 🌿

I wandered over to Volunteer Park after dinner and took a few pictures.

The renovation project at the Seattle Asian Art Museum has been completed, but the museum is open only Friday-Sunday for now.
Here is the Museum’s sleek new brick-and-glass exterior, seen from the back.
Lots of green (and a ‘green’ car—the black Tesla).
I missed the little concert that celebrated the unveiling of the new stage at the Volunteer Park Amphitheater lawn. A technician was just loading the last few pieces of equipment onto a truck. It’s been a long road to get the project completed. Per Seattle Met magazine: ‘Volunteer Park Trust hired architects for the project in 2015 and persisted through a concrete worker strike, exceedingly rainy weather, and pandemic-related supply chain holdups’.
An obligatory picture of the greenhouse of the Volunteer Park Conservatory (constructed 1912).
A food truck sporting the letter sequence 314 PIE with the characters morphed into shapes that make it into a palindrome. I like it. In addition, the truck has a custom Washington State license plate ‘PIE’.
Picknickers enjoying the last of the daylight. The truck in the background is called ‘The Concert Truck’ and belongs to the Seattle Chamber Music Society.

Friday/ in the twilight zone 🌃

A diagram that shows civil, nautical and astronomical twilight. Only when the sun has sunk 18° below the horizon at night, is it completely dark.

 

 

The days are long here in the north, and the twilight lingers.
It takes until midnight before the sky is completely dark.

Looking west to the Space Needle from 14th Avenue on Capitol Hill at 9.58 pm last night, during nautical twilight (see below).
Civil Twilight is from 9:10 pm to 9:50 pm
Nautical Twilight is from 9:50 pm to 10:46 pm
Astronomical Twilight is from 10:46 pm to 12:00 am

Thursday/ time for a dust bath 🛀

The pair of woodpeckers that I see around here in summer, were at my house late afternoon (they are Northern flickers).
One of them was rolling around in the dirt, taking a dust bath.

Dust baths are part of a bird’s preening and plumage maintenance routine.
The dust that is worked into the bird’s feathers, absorb excess oil, which can then be shed so that the feathers don’t become too greasy or matted.
The dust can also bring relief from lice, feather mites or parasites.

The picture quality is not great⁠— I had to use the digital zoom on my iPhone.

Wednesday/ a new platform for the bus 🚍

The No 10 bus stop at 15th Avenue & Republican St has gotten a new platform— one that makes it wheel-chair accessible.
The platform is also sporting rainbow colors and a ‘butt bench’ (for pressing one’s derriere against, whilst waiting for the bus).

The platform for the stop for the northbound No 10 bus, at 15th Avenue and Republican St. The bus stop used to be at the entrance of the (now-shuttered) QFC grocery store a little further down.

Tuesday/ tell us more, tell us more 💬

Cassidy Hutchinson, former aide to White House chief of staff Mark Meadows, testifies during a Jan. 6 committee hearing on national television on June 28, 2022.
[Photo by Getty Images]
The American public learned shocking new details today, of the frenzied days in the White House in the run-up to Jan. 6, and on the day itself. Former White House aide Cassidy Hutchinson was the only live witness at today’s Jan. 6 hearing, but boy— did she have things to tell.

Trump was aware that his supporters had deadly weapons, and he still encouraged them to march on the Capitol. He tried to go, too, but the Secret Service would not let him. (In the days before the attack, White House Counsel Pat Cipollone was frantically warning staff that if anyone from the White House, let alone the president, went to the Capitol on Jan. 6, they’d be charged ‘with every crime imaginable’).
Trump wrestled with a Secret Security agent in ‘The Beast’ (the heavily armored vehicle), wanting to go to the Capitol after his speech at The Ellipse, and not back to the West Wing.
Trump threw dishes against the wall in the White House dining room, and would pull off the tablecloth with dinnerware and food and all onto the floor —regularly.
Trump really, really did not want to call off the rioters.
From inside the White House, the President can go on national TV on a moment’s notice. Trump never did.
2.24 pm: Sent the now-infamous tweet condemning Mike Pence.
2.38 pm: Tweeted that ‘protestors should stay peaceful’, as the violent break-in into the Capitol with the loss of life unfolded.
4.17 pm: Tweeted the ‘we love you, go home’ recording to the rioters.

Monday/ Wimbledon starts ☔

There was rain in London’s SW19 just an hour after Day 1’s tennis had gotten underway at the All England Club.
Centre Court has a retractable roof, though (since 2009), as does Court 1 (since 2019).

Court 1 was where the fierce battle in the Gentlemen’s First Round, between Carlos Alcaraz (19, Spain 🇪🇸) and Jan-Lennard Struff (31, Germany 🇩🇪) was taking place.
Struff’s coach must have instructed him to play gangbusters and go for the margins, hit two first serves every point, just to have a shot at beating Alcaraz. He did just that, with great effect.
Alcaraz had to pull a rabbit out of a hat in the must-have fourth set-tiebreaker, to be at 1-2 and not 0-3.
Struff followed his shot in the forehand corner to the net. Alcaraz got it back, then had to streak crosscourt like a cheetah, to pick up the volley from Struff. He made a scorching one-handed backhand winner out of it. (Under normal conditions the Alcaraz backhand uses two hands).
Final score: Alcaraz 4-6, 7-5, 4-6, 7-6(3), 6-4 after 4 hrs 11 mins.

The grass is fresh and still green everywhere (a little slippery, watch out).
The players look resplendent in their gleaming Wimbledon whites. Grass court tennis shoes have pimples on the soles to provide a little more grip.
Fast balls will skid a little and stay lower than on clay, so it’s a slightly different game and one that Alcaraz is still coming to grips with. One needs lightning-fast reflexes and a little luck, to catch a cannonball serve on one’s strings, which is why serve-and-volleyers do so well on grass.
[Photo of Alcaraz in action today, by Getty Images]

Sunday/ Happy Pride! 🌈

The Seattle Pride parade in downtown was back this year.
It was toasty outside, as was expected.

Seattle Kraken team pooch ‘Davy Jones’ with his Pride bandana, during today’s Seattle Pride Parade.
Picture posted by Seattle Kraken @SeattleKraken on Twitter.

Saturday/ the heat is here 🌟

We are having a little heat wave here in the city.
(Heat wave for us, anyway). It feels as if we went from early spring weather to the summer highs in three days flat.
The highs look like this:
Saturday 88°F 31°C
Sunday 87°F 31°C
Monday 91°F 33°C
Tuesday 68°F 20°C

A few panels from my Adventures of Tintin book called Der Geheimnisvolle Stern/ Eng. The Shooting Star*/ Fr. L’Étoile Mystérieuse.
*The English-language publisher’s translation from the French is scandalously inaccurate: it should have been The Mysterious Star.
Anyway: part of the plot of the book is that a giant meteoroid appears in the sky, and heats up the surface of Earth in a big way. (Kind of like the ‘Don’t Look Up’ movie on Netflix). 
Translation of the text in the bottom panels:
Poor Snowy! He is perishing of thirst .. and the plants also look pitiful.
The end of the world, Snowy! The end of the world- do you understand that, Snowy? (Evidently not, he is only too happy to have some water).

Friday/ ‘an insult to the judicial system’ ⚖

So it is true. How could it not be?
The President that was an insult to the American presidency, had appointed three Supreme Court justices. Now these justices issue rulings that are insults to the American people, and the judicial system.

Below is the full text of the opinion piece published today by the New York Times Editorial Board.

Even if we knew it was coming, the shock reverberates.

For the first time in history, the Supreme Court has eliminated an established constitutional right involving the most fundamental of human concerns: the dignity and autonomy to decide what happens to your body. As of June 24, 2022, about 64 million American women of childbearing age have less power to decide what happens in their own bodies than they did the day before, less power than their mothers and even some of their grandmothers did. That is the first and most important consequence of the Supreme Court’s decision on Friday morning to overturn Roe v. Wade and Planned Parenthood v. Casey.

The right-wing majority in Friday’s ruling in Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization — which involved a Mississippi law that banned most abortions after 15 weeks, well before the line of viability established in Roe and Casey — stated, “It is time to heed the Constitution and return the issue of abortion to the people’s elected representatives.”

The implications of this reversal will be devastating, throwing America into a new era of struggle over abortion laws — an era that will be marked by chaos, confusion and human suffering. About half the states in the United States are expected to enact laws that restrict or make abortion illegal in all or most cases. Many women may be forced by law to carry pregnancies to term, even, in some cases, those caused by rape or incest. Some will likely die, especially those with pregnancy complications that must be treated with abortion or those who resort to unsafe means of abortion because they can’t afford to travel to states where the procedure remains legal. Even those who are able to travel to other states could face the risk of criminal prosecution. Some could go to prison, as could the doctors who care for them. Miscarriages could be investigated as murders, which has already happened in several states, and may become only more common. Without full control over their bodies, women will lose their ability to function as equal members of American society.

The insult of Friday’s ruling is not only in its blithe dismissal of women’s dignity and equality. It lies, as well, in the overt rejection of a well-established legal standard that had managed for decades to balance and reflect Americans’ views on a fraught topic. A majority of the American public believes that women, not state or federal lawmakers, should have the legal right to decide whether to end a pregnancy in all or most cases. At the same time, Americans are weary of the decades-long fight over abortion, a fight that may feel far removed from their complex and deeply personal views about this issue.

The court’s ruling in Dobbs invites years of even more fractious and protracted legal conflict. By giving state legislatures the power to impose virtually whatever abortion restrictions they please, some will now enact outright bans on abortion. Dozens of cases challenging those laws could soon start making their way through the courts and, almost certainly, to the Supreme Court.

The justices in the majority claim to be playing an impartial role in this decision. “Because the Constitution is neutral on the issue of abortion, this court also must be scrupulously neutral,” Justice Brett Kavanaugh wrote in a concurring opinion. And yet, as the three dissenting justices pointed out, “when it comes to rights, the court does not act ‘neutrally’ when it leaves everything up to the states. Rather, the court acts neutrally when it protects the right against all comers.”

Friday’s ruling was written by Justice Samuel Alito. It was joined by all the other Republican-appointed justices, although Chief Justice John Roberts tried to have it both ways, joining with the majority to uphold the Mississippi law in Dobbs even as he wrote separately to say he would not have overturned Roe and Casey altogether out of a respect for precedent.

The dissent, signed jointly by the three justices appointed by Democrats, took apart the majority’s attempts to justify its rejection of established precedent and even questioned the Republican-appointed justices’ claims to neutrality. The right to abortion, the dissenters noted, was established by one ruling a half century ago, reaffirmed by another 30 years ago, and “no recent developments, in either law or fact, have eroded or cast doubt on those precedents. Nothing, in short, has changed.”

Nothing, that is, other than the makeup of the court. This is the sole reason for Friday’s ruling. As the dissenters rightly put it, “Today, the proclivities of individuals rule.”

The presence of these individuals on the court is the culmination of a decades-long effort by anti-abortion and other right-wing forces to remake the court into a regressive bulwark. This has never been a secret; and with the help of the Senate under Mitch McConnell, former president Donald Trump and allies in the conservative legal movement, they have succeeded.

The central logic of the Dobbs ruling is superficially straightforward, and the opinion is substantially the same as the draft Justice Alito distributed to the other justices in February, which was leaked to the press last month. Roe and Casey must be overruled, the ruling says, because “the Constitution makes no reference to abortion, and no such right is implicitly protected by any constitutional provision,” including the 14th Amendment’s guarantee of due process. While that provision has been held to guarantee certain rights that are not mentioned explicitly in the Constitution, any such right must be “deeply rooted in this nation’s history and tradition.”

By the majority’s reasoning, the right to terminate a pregnancy is not “deeply rooted” in the history and tradition of the United States — a country whose Constitution was written by a small band of wealthy white men, many of whom owned slaves and most, if not all, of whom considered women to be second-class citizens without any say in politics.

The three dissenters in the Dobbs case — Justices Stephen Breyer, Sonia Sotomayor and Elena Kagan — called out the majority’s dishonesty, noting that its exceedingly narrow definition of “deeply rooted” rights poses a threat to far more than reproductive freedom. The majority’s denial of this is impossible to believe, the dissenters wrote, saying: “Either the majority does not really believe in its own reasoning. Or if it does, all rights that have no history stretching back to the mid-19th century are insecure.”

In other words, the court is not going to stop at abortion. If you think that’s hyperbole, consider Justice Clarence Thomas’s concurring opinion in Dobbs, in which he called for the court to reconsider other constitutional rights that Americans have enjoyed, in some cases, for decades — including the right to use birth control, the right to marry the person of their choosing and the right of consenting adults to do as they please in the privacy of their bedrooms without being arrested and charged with crimes. These rights share a similar constitutional grounding to the now-former right to abortion, and Justice Thomas rejects that grounding, calling on the court to “eliminate it … at the earliest opportunity.”

This position may not command a majority of justices today, but six years ago, few people thought Roe v. Wade would be overturned. Brett Kavanaugh, during his confirmation hearing in 2018, said Roe v. Wade “is important precedent of the Supreme Court that has been reaffirmed many times.” He added: “Casey specifically reconsidered it, applied the stare decisis factors, and decided to reaffirm it. That makes Casey a precedent on precedent.”

Yet he voted to overturn two rulings that have led to more equality, more dignity and more freedom for millions of Americans. To dismantle these and other advances, the majority on this Supreme Court has demonstrated its disregard for precedent, public opinion and the court’s own legitimacy in the eyes of the American people. We will be paying the price for decades to come.